Mississippi State

SEC
5-7
237.0
PASS YDS/G
164.4
RUSH YDS/G
30.5
PTS FOR/G
29.2
PTS AGAINST/G
SP+ Ratings
Bill Connelly's SP+ model ยท 2025
Overall
4.1
#58 Nationally
Offense
31.6
#39 Nationally
Defense
29.0
#84 Nationally
Special Teams
1.5
SP+ Rating
SP+ Trend
5-Year Rating History
10.5
2021
#34
15.4
2022
#19
0.5
2023
#62
-4.1
2024
#88
4.1
2025
#58
Recruiting Rankings
2025 Class
#28
224.6 pts
2024 Class
#28
223.2 pts
2023 Class
#27
222.9 pts
2022 Class
#27
219.4 pts
Havoc & Field Position
2025 FBS
Def Havoc Rate
13.5%
Front 7 Havoc
7.6%
DB Havoc
5.9%
Off Field Pos
71.0 yd line
Advanced Stats โ€” Percentile Rankings
vs all 136 FBS teams ยท Garbage time excluded
PERCENTILE:
80โ€“99
60โ€“79
45โ€“59
25โ€“44
1โ€“24
OFFENSE
POOR AVERAGE GREAT
EPA / Play
34
0.138
Success Rate
37
41.5%
Explosiveness
67
1.286
Power Success
47
71.6%
Stuff Rate
38
19.5%
Line Yards / Carry
30
2.81
2nd Level Yards
43
1.05
Open Field Yards
26
0.98
Rush EPA / Play
48
0.109
Pass EPA / Play
32
0.207
Rush Success Rate
54
44.0%
Pass Success Rate
25
39.2%
Rush Explosiveness
50
0.961
Pass Explosiveness
87
1.711
DEFENSE
POOR AVERAGE GREAT
EPA / Play Allowed
19
0.221
Success Rate Allowed
25
44.2%
Explosiveness Allowed
48
1.266
Power Success Allowed
21
76.9%
Stuff Rate
7
14.3%
Line Yards Allowed
1
3.41
2nd Level Yds Allowed
7
1.23
Open Field Yds Allowed
53
1.18
Rush EPA Allowed
29
0.156
Pass EPA Allowed
33
0.3
Rush Success Allowed
9
47.7%
Pass Success Allowed
59
40.4%
Rush Explosiveness Allowed
77
0.889
Pass Explosiveness Allowed
9
1.733
Stats Glossary
SP+
Bill Connelly's tempo- and opponent-adjusted efficiency metric. Combines offense, defense, and special teams into a single predictive rating. Higher is better.
EPA / Play
Expected Points Added per play. Measures how much a team moves the needle toward scoring relative to what's expected given down, distance, and field position. The single best measure of efficiency.
Success Rate
The percentage of plays deemed "successful" โ€” gaining 50% of yards needed on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, or 100% on 3rd/4th. Measures consistency.
Explosiveness
Average EPA on successful plays only. Measures the ability to create big gains when things go right. High explosiveness with high success rate = elite offense.
Power Success
Percentage of short-yardage situations (2nd/3rd/4th and โ‰ค2 yards) converted. Measures ability to win in the trenches.
Stuff Rate
Percentage of rush attempts stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage. High offensive stuff rate = bad O-line. High defensive stuff rate = dominant D-line.
Line Yards / Carry
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line (first 5 yards). Isolates O-line performance from the running back's contribution.
2nd Level Yards
Rushing yards gained 5โ€“10 yards past the line of scrimmage. Represents yards where linebackers have primary responsibility.
Open Field Yards
Rushing yards gained beyond 10 yards. Largely a function of the running back's speed and elusiveness in space.
Rush / Pass EPA
EPA per play broken down by run vs pass. Helps identify whether a team's success comes from the ground or through the air.
Rush / Pass Success Rate
Success rate broken down by run vs pass. Shows whether a team is consistently effective in each phase.
Rush / Pass Explosiveness
Average EPA on successful rush or pass plays only. Identifies big-play threats in each phase of the offense.
#72
Boone
LT
#79
Chester
LG
#56
Davis
C
#73
Dent
RG
#65
Dowland
RT
#3
Evans III
WR1
#87
West
TE
#11
Williams
WR2
#2
Shapen
QB
#24
Bothwell
RB
Passing Leaders
Rk Player Cmp Att Yds โ†“ TD INT Pct Y/A
01 195 304 2436 15 8 64.1% 8.0
02 30 55 388 4 1 54.5% 7.1
03
L
Luke Kromenhoek
2 4 20 0 0 50.0% 5.0
Rushing Leaders
Rk Player Att Yds โ†“ Avg TD Long
01 โ€” 639 5.0 6 43
02 โ€” 552 4.1 7 22
03 โ€” 395 6.2 7 39
04 โ€” 149 6.2 2 25
05
S
Seth Davis
โ€” 47 9.4 1 23
06
J
Johnnie Daniels
โ€” 44 4.9 0 13
07 โ€” 43 7.2 0 17
08 โ€” 26 0.2 3 24
09 โ€” 26 4.3 0 17
10
L
Luke Kromenhoek
โ€” 24 6.0 1 13
11 โ€” 15 15.0 0 15
12 โ€” 14 3.5 1 10
13
B
Braylon Burnside
โ€” 6 6.0 0 6
Receiving Leaders
Rk Player Rec Yds โ†“ Avg TD Long
01 53 948 17.9 6 58
02 63 751 11.9 4 57
03 34 361 10.6 5 55
04 19 222 11.7 0 49
05
J
Jordan Mosley
8 168 21.0 1 75
06 15 165 11.0 2 62
07 13 99 7.6 0 39
08 4 35 8.8 1 13
09 3 33 11.0 0 18
10
J
Johnnie Daniels
3 19 6.3 0 9
11
R
Ricky Johnson
3 17 5.7 0 12
12 2 12 6.0 0 9
13
M
Markus Allen
1 7 7.0 0 7
14 1 4 4.0 0 4
15 3 2 0.7 0 5
16
M
Max Reese
2 1 0.5 0 5
Defensive Leaders
Rk Player Solo Ast Tot โ†“ TFL Sacks Int PD
01 33 โ€” 85 3 0 โ€” 4
02 13 โ€” 72 5 2 โ€” โ€”
03 36 โ€” 65 2 1 โ€” 2
04 14 โ€” 64 1 1 โ€” 3
05 15 โ€” 47 3 1 โ€” 1
06 13 โ€” 45 1 0 โ€” 1
07 9 โ€” 42 0 0 โ€” 2
08 16 โ€” 37 0 0 โ€” 2
09 14 โ€” 36 1 1 โ€” 1
10
D
DeAgo Brumfeld
20 โ€” 33 1 0 โ€” 4
11 9 โ€” 33 0 0 โ€” โ€”
12 9 โ€” 30 6 1 โ€” 1
13 17 โ€” 30 0 0 โ€” 11
14 6 โ€” 26 5 1 โ€” โ€”
15 5 โ€” 25 3 2 โ€” โ€”
16
T
Tony Mitchell
13 โ€” 25 4 0 โ€” โ€”
17
K
Kedrick Bingley-Jones
3 โ€” 23 0 0 โ€” 1
18
D
Darron Reed Jr.
4 โ€” 21 2 2 โ€” 1
19 5 โ€” 20 1 0 โ€” โ€”
20 4 โ€” 20 1 1 โ€” 1
21
J
Jayven Williams
10 โ€” 18 1 0 โ€” 1
22 2 โ€” 15 1 1 โ€” 1
23 6 โ€” 14 2 0 โ€” โ€”
24
T
Tanner Duke Johnson
2 โ€” 12 0 0 โ€” 1
25 4 โ€” 10 2 1 โ€” โ€”
26 8 โ€” 10 0 0 โ€” 1
27 4 โ€” 9 1 1 โ€” โ€”
28 4 โ€” 8 4 2 โ€” โ€”
29 4 โ€” 7 0 0 โ€” โ€”
30
J
Joseph Head Jr.
2 โ€” 6 0 0 โ€” โ€”
31
C
Cyrus Reyes
2 โ€” 6 0 0 โ€” โ€”
32 โ€” โ€” 6 0 0 โ€” โ€”
33
T
Tyler Woodard
1 โ€” 5 0 0 โ€” โ€”
34 1 โ€” 5 0 0 โ€” โ€”
35 1 โ€” 5 0 0 โ€” โ€”
36 โ€” โ€” 4 0 0 โ€” โ€”
37
A
Ashun Shepphard
1 โ€” 4 0 0 โ€” โ€”
38 1 โ€” 4 0 0 โ€” โ€”
39 3 โ€” 3 0 0 โ€” โ€”
40 โ€” โ€” 2 0 0 โ€” โ€”
41
J
Jordan Mosley
1 โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
42
K
Koby Keenum
1 โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
43
B
Braylon Burnside
โ€” โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
44
M
Marlon Hauck
โ€” โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
45
T
Terrance Hibbler
โ€” โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
46
E
Elijah Cannon
โ€” โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
47 1 โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
48 โ€” โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
49 1 โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
50 1 โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
51
M
Montrell Chapman
โ€” โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
Kicking
Player FGM FGA Pct Long
13 16 81.3% 55
Punting
Player No Yds Avg Long
40 1869 46.7 67
N
Nathan Tiyce
12 468 39.0 54
1 43 43.0 43
Offense
47 players
Player Pos Ht Wt Yr
QB 6'0" 180 lbs Fr
QB 6'1" 210 lbs Sr
QB 6'2" 220 lbs Jr
QB 6'4" 230 lbs Fr
RB 5'10" 205 lbs Sr
RB 5'10" 230 lbs So
RB 6'0" 205 lbs So
GJ
RB 5'11" 195 lbs Fr
RB 5'9" 190 lbs Fr
WR 5'11" 180 lbs Jr
WR 5'11" 175 lbs Fr
WR 5'11" 185 lbs Jr
WR 6'1" 200 lbs Fr
WR 6'2" 200 lbs Fr
WR 5'11" 210 lbs Fr
WR 6'0" 175 lbs Fr
WR 5'8" 153 lbs So
WR 6'2" 170 lbs Fr
WR 6'0" 200 lbs Jr
WR 6'3" 205 lbs Jr
TE 6'7" 250 lbs Jr
TE 6'9" 265 lbs Jr
TE 6'3" 240 lbs Sr
TE 6'5" 225 lbs Fr
Sam West #87
TE 6'4" 250 lbs So
TE 6'5" 273 lbs Jr
TE 6'4" 230 lbs So
OL 6'4" 315 lbs Sr
OL 6'6" 315 lbs So
OL 6'4" 300 lbs Jr
OL 6'6" 318 lbs Fr
OL 6'6" 300 lbs Fr
OL 6'6" 320 lbs Sr
OL 6'5" 350 lbs Jr
OL 6'5" 360 lbs Fr
OL 6'6" 344 lbs Fr
OL 6'3" 325 lbs Sr
OL 6'6" 350 lbs So
OL 6'5" 320 lbs Jr
OL 6'9" 335 lbs Sr
OL 6'4" 270 lbs Fr
OL 6'3" 295 lbs Fr
OL 6'7" 330 lbs Sr
OL 6'5" 330 lbs Jr
BS
OL 6'6" 315 lbs Jr
OL 6'6" 340 lbs Jr
OL 6'7" 320 lbs Fr
Defense
56 players
Player Pos Ht Wt Yr
DE 6'4" 270 lbs Fr
DL 6'3" 280 lbs Sr
DL 6'4" 315 lbs Jr
DL 6'3" 330 lbs Sr
DL 6'4" 310 lbs Jr
DL 6'2" 320 lbs Jr
DL 6'2" 320 lbs Jr
DL 6'5" 310 lbs Fr
DL 6'2" 275 lbs Sr
DL 6'6" 270 lbs Jr
DL 6'5" 345 lbs Jr
DM
DL 6'5" 345 lbs Jr
DR
Dj Reed #-1
DL โ€” โ€” โ€”
DJ Reed #42
DL 6'4" 285 lbs So
DL 6'4" 300 lbs Sr
DL 6'5" 295 lbs Sr
DL 6'4" 295 lbs Jr
LB 6'2" 235 lbs Fr
LB 6'3" 240 lbs So
LB 6'1" 233 lbs Fr
LB 6'2" 250 lbs Jr
LB 6'3" 240 lbs Sr
LB 6'2" 225 lbs Fr
LB 6'2" 230 lbs Sr
LB 6'0" 200 lbs Fr
AJ Rice #32
LB 6'1" 240 lbs Fr
LB 6'4" 230 lbs Sr
LB 6'2" 230 lbs So
LB 6'1" 215 lbs Jr
LB 6'6" 255 lbs Sr
LB 6'2" 235 lbs Jr
LB 6'2" 250 lbs Fr
CB 5'11" 180 lbs Fr
CB 6'0" 190 lbs Sr
CB 6'1" 190 lbs Jr
CB 5'11" 185 lbs Fr
CB 6'4" 195 lbs So
CB 6'1" 195 lbs Sr
DB 5'11" 194 lbs Sr
S 6'1" 193 lbs Sr
DB 6'2" 198 lbs Fr
S 6'1" 200 lbs Fr
S 6'0" 185 lbs Jr
S 6'2" 200 lbs Fr
S 6'1" 190 lbs Sr
S 6'2" 210 lbs Jr
S 5'10" 195 lbs Sr
DM
DB 6'2" 175 lbs Jr
SP
DB 6'2" 170 lbs Fr
DB 6'1" 188 lbs Fr
S 6'0" 220 lbs Jr
S 6'0" 180 lbs Fr
S 6'3" 215 lbs So
DB 6'0" 205 lbs Fr
S 5'11" 200 lbs Sr
S 5'11" 198 lbs Jr
Special Teams
4 players
Player Pos Ht Wt Yr
P 6'1" 190 lbs So
LS 6'4" 215 lbs Fr
LS 6'1" 220 lbs Sr
ATH โ€” โ€” โ€”